Hoosier Wire

Gameday picture · Week 2

HOW at IU

Sat, Sep 12, 12:00 PM ET · BTN · Memorial Stadium

Desk line: Indiana −45.5, total 62.5. Market not posted. Noon BTN at Memorial Stadium. Two-deep and availability week — Western Kentucky is the first real non-con tape seven days later.

Spread

IU -45.5

Desk line

Total

62.5

Win

99%

Howard

desk projection

Hoosiers

Desk implied 54–9 · IU −100000 / HOW +8000

Kick weather

78°F

Warm September noon · lo 60°F

Bloomington · Memorial Stadium

20% precip

Window

BTN

Noon ET BTN. FCS guest after the FOX opener.

Style-points week. Two-deep is the story.

Unit matchups

Quarterback

IU 9 · 4 HOW

Hoover vs a guest starter. Second IU start. Get the backups live reps.

Offensive line

IU 8 · 4 HOW

Smith–Brunner edges should maul this front.

Receivers

IU 8 · 4 HOW

Marsh, Becker, Morris is a Big Ten room against a non-con secondary.

Front seven

IU 8 · 4 HOW

Obiazor and Osunsanmi should hunt. Rotation film is the story.

Secondary

IU 8 · 4 HOW

Ferrell and Harris should eat. Nickel sorting is the useful tape.

Special teams

IU 7 · 5 HOW

Don't gift a return. Richard as KR is the mismatch.

Availability

Trevor Gibbs TE
Targeted back after the opener. Schott/Barker/Thiry have the two-deep either way.
probable
Josh Hoover QB
Full go. TCU transfer, first IU start. The season walks through him.
available
Turbo Richard RB
Full go. BC transfer, the featured back and KR.
available
Nick Marsh WR
Full go. Michigan State transfer is the X.
available
Carter Smith OT
Full go. Left tackle and the public voice of the line.
available

What the tape says

Second-team snaps before the fourth. WKU is seven days later.
Don't gift an FCS return. That's how these get messy.
Hoover's designed-run rate should drop if Week 1 already answered the timing question.
Gibbs' status after the opener — a dress for the freshman TE changes the two-deep.

History

FCS guests at Memorial Stadium are supposed to be 40-point nights, not referendums.
Larry Scott's Howard side is a paycheck Saturday in Bloomington.
The useful history is internal: how the two-deep looked the week after the FOX opener.

Roster advantage · vs Howard

IU holds the two-deep

Starter-vs-starter grades for Larry Scott's Howard.

Net grade

+34

8 IU · 0 even · 0 HOW

IU edge

Josh Hoover

IU 9

FCS starter

4 HOW

Hoover has 31 TCU starts. This is a live install, not a hunt.

IU edge

Turbo Richard

IU 8

Howard committee

4 HOW

Richard plus Martin should stack 150.

IU edge

Nick Marsh

IU 8

Guest corners

4 HOW

Marsh is the mismatch even if Hoover is still timing the room.

IU edge

Carter Smith

IU 8

Guest front

4 HOW

Five veterans. Don't leave points in the locker room.

EDGE

IU edge

Chiddi Obiazor

IU 8

Guest tackles

3 HOW

A hunting day if the two-deep stays honest.

IU edge

Tyrique Tucker

IU 8

Guest interior

4 HOW

Tucker and Landino should hold the point.

IU edge

Rolijah Hardy

IU 8

Guest skill

4 HOW

Gap sound, then go get the quarterback.

IU edge

Amare Ferrell

IU 8

Guest WR

4 HOW

Tackling and nickel sorting. The score takes care of itself.