Hoosier Wire

Gameday picture · Week 12 · Big Ten

IU at UW

11/21 · TBD · TBD · Husky Stadium

Desk line: Washington −3.5, total 54.5. Road dog. Hoover is the best player; Seattle in November is why it isn't pick'em.

Spread

IU +3.5

Desk line

Total

54.5

Win

42%

Washington

desk projection

Hoosiers

Desk implied 26–29 · UW −165 / IU +140

Kick weather

48°F

Cool Seattle afternoon · Husky Stadium · lo 40°F

Seattle · Husky Stadium

40% precip

Window

TBD

Husky Stadium. Kick TBD.

Road dog in Seattle. Possession game.

Unit matchups

Quarterback

IU 8 · 7 UW

Hoover vs a Fisch timing thrower. Hoover is the better athlete.

Offensive line

IU 7 · 7 UW

Husky crowd plus a Fisch front. Smith has to travel.

Receivers

IU 8 · 7 UW

Marsh vs Washington corners. Even if the go-ball is there.

Front seven

IU 8 · 7 UW

Force them off schedule. He's a timing thrower, not a creator.

Secondary

IU 7 · 7 UW

No busts. They will take the free play.

Special teams

IU 7 · 7 UW

Seattle in November. Hidden yardage keeps you in it.

Availability

Trevor Gibbs TE
Targeted back after the opener. Schott/Barker/Thiry have the two-deep either way.
probable
Josh Hoover QB
Full go. TCU transfer, first IU start. The season walks through him.
available
Turbo Richard RB
Full go. BC transfer, the featured back and KR.
available
Nick Marsh WR
Full go. Michigan State transfer is the X.
available
Carter Smith OT
Full go. Left tackle and the public voice of the line.
available

What the tape says

Start on schedule. Husky Stadium punishes three-and-outs.
Hoover as a runner in the red zone. Don't get cute.
Force their quarterback off schedule.
Win the fourth quarter. This is a one-score road dog until the last possession.

History

Jedd Fisch's Washington at Husky Stadium. First title-defense trip to Seattle.
November in the northwest is a dogfight even when the Huskies are turning over.
Purdue is the next Saturday — Old Oaken Bucket at home. Don't leave this one in the locker room.

Roster advantage · vs Washington

Two-deep is a coin-flip

Starter-vs-starter grades for Jedd Fisch's Washington.

Net grade

3 IU · 5 even · 0 UW

IU edge

Josh Hoover

IU 8

UW starter

7 UW

Hoover is the mismatch runner. Don't get cute.

Even

Turbo Richard

IU 7

UW committee

7 UW

Stay on schedule. Don't lose first down.

IU edge

Nick Marsh

IU 8

UW corners

7 UW

Marsh can win. Need a second option.

Even

Carter Smith

IU 7

UW front

7 UW

Even. First-down success is the whole road script.

EDGE

IU edge

Chiddi Obiazor

IU 8

UW tackles

7 UW

A sack-fumble is the steal.

Even

Tyrique Tucker

IU 7

UW interior

7 UW

Don't get washed. That's how Husky Stadium gets out of hand.

Even

Rolijah Hardy

IU 7

UW skill

7 UW

Fits vs a new staff. Play assignment football.

Even

Amare Ferrell

IU 7

UW receivers

7 UW

No busts. They will take the free play.