Hoosier Wire

Gameday picture · Week 13 · Rivalry

PUR at IU

11/28 · TBD · TBD · Memorial Stadium

Desk line: Indiana −17.5, total 52.5. Old Oaken Bucket. Steal it by running the ball and making Purdue throw.

Spread

IU -17.5

Desk line

Total

52.5

Win

86%

Purdue

desk projection

Hoosiers

Desk implied 35–18 · IU −900 / PUR +600

Kick weather

42°F

Late November home rivalry · lo 28°F

Bloomington · Memorial Stadium

30% precip

Window

TBD

Old Oaken Bucket at Memorial Stadium. Kick TBD.

Bucket week. Hoover is the veteran.

Unit matchups

Quarterback

IU 9 · 5 PUR

Hoover vs a first-year Purdue starter. Experience gap is IU's.

Offensive line

IU 8 · 6 PUR

Purdue's front still travels. Smith has to be a veteran by late November.

Receivers

IU 8 · 6 PUR

Marsh vs Purdue corners. Even, with Marsh the mismatch if isolated.

Front seven

IU 8 · 6 PUR

Make their quarterback beat you. Don't gift it.

Secondary

IU 8 · 6 PUR

No busts. Young Purdue skill will take the free play.

Special teams

IU 7 · 6 PUR

Bucket week. Hidden yardage in a rivalry.

Availability

Trevor Gibbs TE
Targeted back after the opener. Schott/Barker/Thiry have the two-deep either way.
probable
Josh Hoover QB
Full go. TCU transfer, first IU start. The season walks through him.
available
Turbo Richard RB
Full go. BC transfer, the featured back and KR.
available
Nick Marsh WR
Full go. Michigan State transfer is the X.
available
Carter Smith OT
Full go. Left tackle and the public voice of the line.
available

What the tape says

Make Purdue beat you. Don't gift a short field.
Run it early. Memorial Stadium goes quiet when the Bucket guest runs the ball — don't let them.
Marsh isolated. Force Purdue to prove the corner.
Don't donate a rivalry turnover. The Bucket travels.

History

Old Oaken Bucket at Memorial Stadium. The rivalry that still decides the state.
Barry Odom's Purdue. A late-November home game against a rebuilding in-state rival.
Hoover vs a first-year starter is the cleanest quarterback edge on the slate after the non-con.

Roster advantage · vs Purdue

IU holds the two-deep

Starter-vs-starter grades for Barry Odom's Purdue.

Net grade

+18

8 IU · 0 even · 0 PUR

IU edge

Josh Hoover

IU 9

PUR starter

5 PUR

Hoover is the proven starter. Make Purdue beat you.

IU edge

Turbo Richard

IU 8

PUR committee

6 PUR

If IU runs it, the crowd stays loud.

IU edge

Nick Marsh

IU 8

PUR corners

6 PUR

Isolate Marsh. Don't let a young Purdue skill beat you over the top.

IU edge

Carter Smith

IU 8

PUR front

6 PUR

Purdue's identity still lives up front.

EDGE

IU edge

Chiddi Obiazor

IU 8

PUR tackles

6 PUR

Hunt. He has not seen this kind of edge.

IU edge

Tyrique Tucker

IU 8

PUR interior

6 PUR

A push turns this into a Hoover game.

IU edge

Rolijah Hardy

IU 8

PUR skill

6 PUR

Fits. Don't chase. This is a tackling rivalry.

IU edge

Amare Ferrell

IU 8

PUR receivers

6 PUR

No busts. Rivalry turnovers travel farther than the number.